POLITICAL REVENGE BELE LORI TIMOR LESTE TAMA BA ESTADU FALLADU GRAVE

Programa foun, kada uma kain sei hetan dolar atus rua ($200), entah los kalae, ameasa atu dada fali UKL (Uma Kbiit Laek), entah los kalae, ameasa atu funsionarius kontratadu sira nia nasib terlunta-lunta, entah los kalae, nsst, sai viral loos iha segunda ronda. Pergunta mak nee:

"Eleisoens ida nee atu hili Xefe Estadu? Ka atu hili Xefe Governu? Ou keta Eleisoens ida nee ninia rezultadu, atu diretamente altera KRDTL, transfere Sistema Semi Prezidensial ba Sistema Prezidensial, atu nunee Xefe Estadu aumezmu tempu bele cover mos Xefe Governu, hodi involve diretamente iha urus osan $200. Kalau begitu ya, baguslah.

Mas se objetivu eleisoens 2022 nune duni, PM TMR tenki husik kargu. Parese atu transfere ba Vice Prezidente Republika.

Ita nia populasaun uitoan deit, pur volta de 1,3 milaun. Jeografikamente, ita nia space metade illa deit (illa nee mos kiik tan), ita nia ema kiak liu husi 80%. Nunee tiha mak ita opta fali Sistema Semi Prezidensial, ulmo liu. Impasse politika nebe hahuu husi PR la fo posse ba ministrus nain 9 nee mos ninia "hulu" tamba sistema nebe ita opta, katak tamba hetan kontribuisaun forte husi Sistema nebe ita opta.

Entretantu atu rezolve problema nebe hanesan, diak liu muda kedan husi "hulu". Labele kokir-kokir hela deit iha "hilir".

Iha nia diskursu, iha 30 Marsu 2022 iha UNPAZ, Prof. Ramos Horta dehan kedan: "Prezidente Lu Olo nia desizaun la fo posse ba membru governu, sai tiha ona preseden boot ida. Se-karik hau eleitu ba PR, hau mos bele halo hanesan nee hotu, tamba PR anterior halo uluk tiha ona".

Mas i depois Laureadu Nobel da Paz nee ho hamanasa dehan, "Espera-ke hau la halo nunee. Espera mos hau la dizolve Parlamentu. 2007-2008 ita iha krize boot, mas hau nunka dizolve Parlamentu. Keta haluha, hau nia vida nunka dizolve PN. Katuas koalia ho hamanasa.

Ba hau pesoal, mensajen Prof. RH nee, is a meaningful message, tamba iha liras rua (bahasa bersayap alias mensajen ho karakter ekivok).

In one side, Prof. RH was mocking Mr. President Lu Olo, but on the other hand, it looks like, Prof. RH will break his political agreement with Mr. X and CNRT to "Dizolve PN, just because Prof. RH won't risky his figure as an international leader to be a trouble maker".

Belun sira imajina tok, Eleisoen Prezidensial 2022, Prof. Ramos Horta manan. Depois Eleisoens Parlamentar 2023, Fretilin ho nia aliadu manan. Mas propoin ministru balun ba Prezidente Republika, Prof. RH trava tiha, mas la pronunsia buat ida tamba saa mak trava? Nee drama akan berlanjut. Ita hotu akan ulmo. TL akan tama iha status estadu falladu grave tamba deit political revenge.

"It looks like "severe failed state" is on the way".